La Liga · 2023

Villarreal 1–2 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–2.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.811.32
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Villarreal 2–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Atlético Madrid): shots 11–14, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.81–1.32, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Atlético Madrid12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsVillarreal 11 shots, Atlético Madrid 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsVillarreal 2 shots, Atlético Madrid 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.32 xGVillarreal 0.81 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.32 xG
  • Possession52%48%Villarreal 52%, Atlético Madrid 48%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersVillarreal 3 corners, Atlético Madrid 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls22 foulsVillarreal 14 fouls, Atlético Madrid 22 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAïssa Mandi · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 50′ · 0.05 xG · goalKoke · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFrancis Coquelin · Villarreal · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAxel Witsel · Atlético Madrid · 9′ · 0.08 xG · goalAïssa Mandi · Villarreal · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 75′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 17′ · 0.10 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSaúl Ñíguez · Atlético Madrid · 87′ · 0.11 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDani Parejo · Villarreal · 86′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 73′ · 0.19 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 80′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 7′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG. Atlético Madrid: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 50′Axel Witsel · Atlético Madrid · 9′Saúl Ñíguez · Atlético Madrid · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 0.79 xG · Atlético Madrid 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Villarreal
3Draws
1Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga3–1
Villarreal — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–2
Atlético Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga0–2
Villarreal — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–2
Atlético Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal30 matchesAtlético Madrid30 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.87 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.72 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 12.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 5.77 shots/match
50.4%Possession30/30● 50.9%
4.97 corners/match ●Corners30/304.6 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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