PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Club · La Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–0.

Shots
97
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.120.27
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Athletic Club 2–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Athletic Club): shots 9–7, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.12–0.27, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.03 corners/match ●CornersReal Madrid · Athletic Club5.43 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAthletic ClubBaseline
Corners6.03 corners/match5.43 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Athletic Club49.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAthletic ClubBaseline
Possession59.8%49.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsReal Madrid 9 shots, Athletic Club 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsReal Madrid 4 shots, Athletic Club 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.27 xGReal Madrid 1.12 xG, Athletic Club 0.27 xG
  • Possession59%41%Real Madrid 59%, Athletic Club 41%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersReal Madrid 4 corners, Athletic Club 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsReal Madrid 9 fouls, Athletic Club 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 8′ · 0.06 xG · goalIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG. Athletic Club: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 8′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.07 xG · Athletic Club 0.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Real Madrid
1Draws
0Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2
Real Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Real Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid30 matchesAthletic Club30 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/300.93 goals/match
1.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.51 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.5 shots/match
6.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.7 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession30/3049.2%
6.03 corners/match ●Corners30/305.43 corners/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridAthletic Club
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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