La Liga · 2023Sun, 5 May 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Valencia

DWWLL

0–1Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valencia	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	13 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.97 xG/match▲	0.83 xG/match
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	5 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Valencia: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.97 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 0.97 xG · Deportivo Alavés 0.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.94 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.56 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Deportivo Alavés12.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Valencia	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Shots	9.56 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	10.7 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Valencia

0Draws

2Deportivo Alavés

2 Sept 2023Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga1–0

13 Feb 2022Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga2–1

27 Aug 2021Valencia — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 5 · 4 too close

1.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/340.94 goals/match

1.15 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.12 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/34▲1.17 xG/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.16 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/34▲12.1 shots/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3411.6 shots/match

3.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/343.62 shots/match

4.32 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲3.74 shots/match

44%●Possessionseason · 34/3441.9%

3.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/34●5.09 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲4.62 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3412.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3429%

68%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3459%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia12.5

Deportivo Alavés2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia20

Deportivo Alavés30.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia64.2

Deportivo Alavés77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia12.5

Deportivo Alavés97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia37.5

Deportivo Alavés42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia2.5

Deportivo Alavés72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia15

Deportivo Alavés46.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia34 matchesDeportivo Alavés34 matches

1.09 goals/match▲Goals scored34/340.94 goals/match

1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.12 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲1.17 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShots34/34▲12.1 shots/match

3.47 shots/matchShots on target34/343.62 shots/match

44%●Possession34/3441.9%

3.18 corners/matchCorners34/34●5.09 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia17 matchesDeportivo Alavés17 matches

1.12 goals/match▲Goals scored17/170.71 goals/match

0.65 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.24 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.05 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots17/17▲11.4 shots/match

3.65 shots/matchShots on target17/173.65 shots/match

47.7%●Possession17/1742.3%

3.94 corners/matchCorners17/17●4.35 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 May 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4