La Liga · 2023Fri, 10 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LLWWW

2–2Full-time recap

Girona FC

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Girona FC
Shots	14 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.78 xG/match	1.88 xG/match▲
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.77 xG. Girona FC: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 1.77 xG · Girona FC 1.87 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.97 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.7%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Girona FC●56.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Girona FC	Baseline
Possession	41.7%	56.4%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés

0Draws

1Girona FC

18 Dec 2023Girona FC — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 5 · 4 too close

0.97 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/35▲2.14 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.26 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/35▲1.8 xG/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.44 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3512.2 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3513.4 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/35▲4.94 shots/match

3.77 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/354.51 shots/match

41.7%Possessionseason · 35/35●56.4%

5.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/354.17 corners/match

4.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/354.37 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3511.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/35▲31%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/35▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés2.5

Girona FC77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés34.2

Girona FC74.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés74.2

Girona FC34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés97.5

Girona FC7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés42.5

Girona FC17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés72.5

Girona FC17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés47.5

Girona FC41.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés35 matchesGirona FC35 matches

0.97 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲2.14 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.26 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲1.8 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots35/3512.2 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲4.94 shots/match

41.7%Possession35/35●56.4%

5.09 corners/match●Corners35/354.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés18 matchesGirona FC18 matches

1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.61 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.39 goals/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.79 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots18/1812.2 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.22 shots/match

41.2%Possession18/18●55.3%

5.78 corners/match●Corners18/184.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4