La Liga · 2023Tue, 14 May 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Madrid

WWWWW

5–0Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LWWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Madrid	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	22 shots/match▲	18 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Expected goals	2.52 xG/match▲	1.28 xG/match
Possession	72%●	28%
Corners	4 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Madrid: 22 shots, 11 on target, 2.51 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 18 shots, 10 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.51 xG · Deportivo Alavés 1.29 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.94 goals/match	1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid.

3.12 days▲Rest daysReal Madrid · Deportivo Alavés4.02 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Madrid	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Rest days	3.12 days	4.02 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.5%●PossessionReal Madrid · Deportivo Alavés41.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Possession	59.5%	41.4%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Madrid

0Draws

0Deportivo Alavés

21 Dec 2023Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1

19 Feb 2022Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0

14 Aug 2021Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 0 · 2 too close

2.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 36/360.94 goals/match

0.61 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 36/361.25 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 36/361.19 xG/match

0.93 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 36/361.22 xG/match

15.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 36/3612.3 shots/match

10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 36/3612 shots/match

6.61 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 36/363.92 shots/match

3.03 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/363.97 shots/match

59.5%●Possessionseason · 36/3641.4%

5.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 36/364.97 corners/match

3.81 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 36/364.56 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3612.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

56%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3628%

97%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3658%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid87.5

Deportivo Alavés2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid97.5

Deportivo Alavés32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid97.5

Deportivo Alavés55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid77.5

Deportivo Alavés97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid2.5

Deportivo Alavés42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid92.5

Deportivo Alavés67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid72.5

Deportivo Alavés46.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid36 matchesDeportivo Alavés36 matches

2.31 goals/match▲Goals scored36/360.94 goals/match

0.61 goals/match▲Goals allowed36/361.25 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals36/361.19 xG/match

15.9 shots/match▲Shots36/3612.3 shots/match

6.61 shots/match▲Shots on target36/363.92 shots/match

59.5%●Possession36/3641.4%

5.67 corners/match●Corners36/364.97 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid18 matchesDeportivo Alavés18 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.67 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.44 goals/match

2.22 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.07 xG/match

18.2 shots/match▲Shots18/1811.7 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target18/184 shots/match

62.1%●Possession18/1841.5%

6.17 corners/match●Corners18/184.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.94 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.02 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 May 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4