La Liga · 2023

Villarreal 3–2 Sevilla · La Liga

3–2Historical match

Sevilla

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 3–2.

Shots
258
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
3.331.74
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Sevilla 3–2. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Sevilla): shots 25–8, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 3.33–1.74, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.34 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.34 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Sevilla12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealSevillaBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match13 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots8 shotsVillarreal 25 shots, Sevilla 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsVillarreal 7 shots, Sevilla 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.33 xG1.74 xGVillarreal 3.33 xG, Sevilla 1.74 xG
  • Possession59%41%Villarreal 59%, Sevilla 41%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerVillarreal 10 corners, Sevilla 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsVillarreal 12 fouls, Sevilla 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBertrand Traoré · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJorge Cuenca · Villarreal · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani Parejo · Villarreal · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrancis Coquelin · Villarreal · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBertrand Traoré · Villarreal · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRamón Terrats · Villarreal · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucien Agoumé · Sevilla · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 30′ · 0.09 xG · goalYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 73′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.11 xG · goalYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 80′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJorge Cuenca · Villarreal · 52′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 52′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 14′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 44′ · 0.30 xG · goalLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 36′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 47′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 59′ · 0.40 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 46′ · 0.49 xG · on targetYerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.57 xG · goalYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 26′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 25 shots, 7 on target, 3.34 xG. Sevilla: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 30′Yerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 84′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 90′Youssef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 26′Youssef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 3.34 xG · Sevilla 1.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Villarreal
3Draws
2Sevilla
Sevilla — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Villarreal · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Villarreal · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal35 matchesSevilla35 matches
1.69 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.34 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.19 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.49 shots/matchShots on target35/354.29 shots/match
50.1%Possession35/35● 50.6%
4.74 corners/matchCorners35/35● 4.86 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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