PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sat, 11 May 2024, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaLas Palmas
Shots7 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals0.33 xG/match0.38 xG/match▲
Possession44%56%●
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Araujo · Las Palmas · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Cardona · Las Palmas · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni González · Mallorca · 29′ · 0.04 xG · goalSaúl Coco · Las Palmas · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni González · Mallorca · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJaume Costa · Mallorca · 73′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSory Kaba · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.12 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG. Las Palmas: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Giovanni González · Mallorca · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 0.31 xG · Las Palmas 0.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionMallorca · Las Palmas●59.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaLas PalmasBaseline
Possession44.3%59.9%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Mallorca
1Draws
0Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Mallorca · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 2 · 4 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/35▲0.86 goals/match
1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.26 goals/match
1.02 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/350.84 xG/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.51 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3510.2 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/35▲11.8 shots/match
3.49 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/353.17 shots/match
3.94 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/354.23 shots/match
44.3%Possessionseason · 35/35●59.9%
4.37 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/354.29 corners/match
4.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/355.49 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3510.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3520%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3554%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca22.5
Las Palmas92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca19.2
Las Palmas12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca60
Las Palmas53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca32.5
Las Palmas2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca87.5
Las Palmas7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca37.5
Las Palmas22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca42.5
Las Palmas12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca35 matchesLas Palmas35 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲0.86 goals/match
1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.26 goals/match
1.02 xG/match▲Expected goals35/350.84 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots35/3510.2 shots/match
3.49 shots/match▲Shots on target35/353.17 shots/match
44.3%Possession35/35●59.9%
4.37 corners/match●Corners35/354.29 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
15.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca18 matchesLas Palmas18 matches
0.83 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.72 goals/match
0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.5 goals/match
0.83 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.74 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots18/1810.1 shots/match
3.61 shots/match▲Shots on target18/182.78 shots/match
47%Possession18/18●57.5%
5.61 corners/match●Corners18/183.28 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
15.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Mallorca vs Las Palmas — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath