La Liga · 2023

Barcelona 4–2 Valencia · La Liga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 4–2.

Shots
275
Shots on target
133
Expected goals
2.212.13
Possession
80%20%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Valencia 4–2. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Valencia): shots 27–5, shots on target 13–3, expected goals 2.21–2.13, possession 80%–20%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.45 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match9.45 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.9% ●PossessionBarcelona · Valencia43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaValenciaBaseline
Possession64.9%43.6%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBarcelona · Valencia9.45 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaValenciaBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match9.45 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots5 shotsBarcelona 27 shots, Valencia 5 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots3 shotsBarcelona 13 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.21 xG2.13 xGBarcelona 2.21 xG, Valencia 2.13 xG
  • Possession80%20%Barcelona 80%, Valencia 20%
  • Corners15 corners1 cornerBarcelona 15 corners, Valencia 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls5 foulsBarcelona 12 fouls, Valencia 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Cancelo · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJules Koundé · Barcelona · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFerran Torres · Barcelona · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJules Koundé · Barcelona · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 49′ · 0.04 xG · goalJoão Félix · Barcelona · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalJavier Guerra · Valencia · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Barcelona · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJules Koundé · Barcelona · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 75′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFermín López · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Barcelona · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Barcelona · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 82′ · 0.18 xG · on targetFermín López · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.23 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 14′ · 0.28 xG · on targetPeter González · Valencia · 20′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 82′ · 0.31 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 27′ · 0.68 xG · goalPepelu · Valencia · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 27 shots, 13 on target, 2.24 xG. Valencia: 5 shots, 3 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Fermín López · Barcelona · 22′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 49′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 82′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 27′Pepelu · Valencia · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.24 xG · Valencia 2.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Barcelona
1Draws
0Valencia
Valencia — Barcelona · La Liga1–1
Barcelona — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Barcelona · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Barcelona · La Liga1–4
Barcelona — Valencia · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barcelona favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barcelona33 matchesValencia33 matches
2.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.12 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.15 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.06 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots33/339.45 shots/match
6.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.55 shots/match
64.9% ●Possession33/3343.6%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners33/333.12 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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