La Liga · 2023

Villarreal 3–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 3–0.

Shots
1520
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.421.04
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Rayo Vallecano 3–0. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano): shots 15–20, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.42–1.04, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Rayo Vallecano12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots20 shotsVillarreal 15 shots, Rayo Vallecano 20 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsVillarreal 7 shots, Rayo Vallecano 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.42 xG1.04 xGVillarreal 1.42 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.04 xG
  • Possession46%54%Villarreal 46%, Rayo Vallecano 54%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersVillarreal 3 corners, Rayo Vallecano 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsVillarreal 15 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alex Baena · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moreno · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.07 xG · goalIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 74′ · 0.14 xG · goalRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 18′ · 0.19 xG · goalAlfonso Pedraza · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.39 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 20 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 18′Yerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 69′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.39 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Villarreal
1Draws
2Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga1–5
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal33 matchesRayo Vallecano33 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.82 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.09 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots33/3312.2 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/334.18 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession33/3349.5%
4.7 corners/match ●Corners33/334.18 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3315.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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