PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealRayo Vallecano
Shots15 shots/match20 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals1.42 xG/match▲1.04 xG/match
Possession46%54%●
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match●
Fouls15 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alex Baena · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moreno · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.07 xG · goalIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 74′ · 0.14 xG · goalRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 18′ · 0.19 xG · goalAlfonso Pedraza · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.39 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 20 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 18′Yerson Mosquera · Villarreal · 69′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.39 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.03 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · Rayo Vallecano12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Villarreal
1Draws
2Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga1–5
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 6 · 3 too close

1.64 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 33/330.82 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.27 goals/match
1.48 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 33/331.09 xG/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.21 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3312.2 shots/match
15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲11.9 shots/match
4.45 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 33/334.18 shots/match
5.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/33▲4.15 shots/match
49.9%●Possessionseason · 33/3349.5%
4.7 corners/match●Cornersseason · 33/334.18 corners/match
5.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲4.55 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3315.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲36%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3355%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal52.5
Rayo Vallecano47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal62.5
Rayo Vallecano39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal5.8
Rayo Vallecano49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal32.5
Rayo Vallecano52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal57.5
Rayo Vallecano77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal57.5
Rayo Vallecano20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal56.2
Rayo Vallecano51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal33 matchesRayo Vallecano33 matches
1.64 goals/match▲Goals scored33/330.82 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲1.27 goals/match
1.48 xG/match▲Expected goals33/331.09 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots33/3312.2 shots/match
4.45 shots/match▲Shots on target33/334.18 shots/match
49.9%●Possession33/3349.5%
4.7 corners/match●Corners33/334.18 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3315.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal17 matchesRayo Vallecano17 matches
1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored17/170.65 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.12 goals/match
1.65 xG/match▲Expected goals17/170.98 xG/match
14.5 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.4 shots/match
5.18 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.53 shots/match
53.2%●Possession17/1746.8%
5.88 corners/match●Corners17/173.06 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.09 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVillarrealRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headVillarreal — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Villarreal 3–0 Rayo Vallecano — La Liga 2023/24 Match Stats | PitchMath