PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 12 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisAlmería
Shots14 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.77 xG/match1.17 xG/match▲
Possession47%53%●
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lucas Robertone · Almería · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJonathan Viera · Almería · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLéo Baptistão · Almería · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLucas Robertone · Almería · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuan Miranda · Real Betis · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLucas Robertone · Almería · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLéo Baptistão · Almería · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLéo Baptistão · Almería · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Almería · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 64′ · 0.06 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdrián Embarba · Almería · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 8′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 28′ · 0.10 xG · goalAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLuka Romero · Almería · 66′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLuka Romero · Almería · 66′ · 0.76 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.77 xG. Almería: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pablo Fornals · Real Betis · 8′Isco · Real Betis · 28′Ayoze Pérez · Real Betis · 64′Léo Baptistão · Almería · 45′Luka Romero · Almería · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 0.77 xG · Almería 1.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible away split

moderate

Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.56 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.56 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Almería12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisAlmeríaBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match15.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Betis
1Draws
0Almería
Almería — Real Betis · La Liga0–0
Almería — Real Betis · La Liga2–3
Real Betis — Almería · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Almería in 2 · 2 too close

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/351 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/352 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/35▲1.28 xG/match
1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.63 xG/match
13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/3512.4 shots/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3515.3 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/35▲4.26 shots/match
4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/355.26 shots/match
50.5%●Possessionseason · 35/3546.4%
5.66 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/354.57 corners/match
5.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/355.63 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3513 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
34%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3517%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3569%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis62.5
Almería37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis60.8
Almería47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis59.2
Almería5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis72.5
Almería82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis22.5
Almería57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis87.5
Almería50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis58.8
Almería55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis35 matchesAlmería35 matches
1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored35/351 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/352 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲1.28 xG/match
13.1 shots/match▲Shots35/3512.4 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲4.26 shots/match
50.5%●Possession35/3546.4%
5.66 corners/match●Corners35/354.57 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3513 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis18 matchesAlmería18 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.06 goals/match
0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/182.06 goals/match
1.38 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.02 xG/match
15.2 shots/match▲Shots18/189.56 shots/match
4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.22 shots/match
51.4%●Possession18/1841.6%
5.94 corners/match●Corners18/184.22 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisAlmería
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Real Betis vs Almería — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath