La Liga · 2023Mon, 13 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Barcelona

WWLWL

2–0Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

WDDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Barcelona	Real Sociedad
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.15 xG/match▲	0.67 xG/match
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	6 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Barcelona: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.18 xG. Real Sociedad: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.18 xG · Real Sociedad 0.66 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.37 goals/match	1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.26 corners/match●CornersBarcelona · Real Sociedad5.29 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Corners	6.26 corners/match	5.29 corners/match	4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.5%●PossessionBarcelona · Real Sociedad56.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Possession	64.5%	56.1%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Barcelona

0Draws

1Real Sociedad

4 Nov 2023Real Sociedad — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

20 May 2023Barcelona — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

21 Aug 2022Real Sociedad — Barcelona · La Liga1–4

21 Apr 2022Real Sociedad — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

15 Aug 2021Barcelona — Real Sociedad · La Liga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 3 · 4 too close

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/351.37 goals/match

1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/35▲1.06 goals/match

2.12 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/351.23 xG/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 35/351.07 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/3512.3 shots/match

10.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/3510.3 shots/match

6.09 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/354.11 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/35▲3.46 shots/match

64.5%●Possessionseason · 35/3556.1%

6.26 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/355.29 corners/match

3.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/35▲3.54 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3515.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3537%

94%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3574%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5

Real Sociedad77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona92.5

Real Sociedad54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona75

Real Sociedad90.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona47.5

Real Sociedad17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona12.5

Real Sociedad92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5

Real Sociedad77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona75

Real Sociedad66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Barcelona35 matchesReal Sociedad35 matches

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scored35/351.37 goals/match

1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲1.06 goals/match

2.12 xG/match▲Expected goals35/351.23 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots35/3512.3 shots/match

6.09 shots/match▲Shots on target35/354.11 shots/match

64.5%●Possession35/3556.1%

6.26 corners/match●Corners35/355.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3515.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Barcelona18 matchesReal Sociedad18 matches

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.28 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.06 goals/match

2.32 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.25 xG/match

18.2 shots/match▲Shots18/1811.7 shots/match

6.89 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.44 shots/match

65.4%●Possession18/1856%

7.28 corners/match●Corners18/184.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1816.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.29 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4