La Liga · 2023Sat, 25 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal MadridReal Betis
Shots13 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.98 xG/match0.75 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Héctor Bellerín · Real Betis · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 51′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFerland Mendy · Real Madrid · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYoussouf Sabaly · Real Betis · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuan Miranda · Real Betis · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSokratis · Real Betis · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Real Betis · 60′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFerland Mendy · Real Madrid · 15′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 9′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHéctor Bellerín · Real Betis · 37′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 82′ · 0.16 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.97 xG. Real Betis: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 0.97 xG · Real Betis 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.29 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.55 corners/matchCornersReal Madrid · Real Betis5.71 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridReal BetisBaseline
Corners5.55 corners/match5.71 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Madrid
3Draws
0Real Betis
Real BetisReal Madrid · La Liga11
Real BetisReal Madrid · La Liga00
Real MadridReal Betis · La Liga21
Real MadridReal Betis · La Liga00
Real BetisReal Madrid · La Liga01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 0 · 2 too close

2.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/381.26 goals/match
0.68 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/381.18 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/381.17 xG/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/381.34 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3812.9 shots/match
10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/3811.8 shots/match
6.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/384.13 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/384.18 shots/match
59.5%Possessionseason · 38/3850.5%
5.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/385.71 corners/match
3.82 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/385.05 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.68 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3811.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
55%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3834%
95%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3879%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid87.5
Real Betis62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid95.8
Real Betis60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid97.5
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid82.5
Real Betis67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid2.5
Real Betis22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid87.5
Real Betis92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid70
Real Betis60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid38 matchesReal Betis38 matches
2.29 goals/matchGoals scored38/381.26 goals/match
0.68 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.18 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goals38/381.17 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots38/3812.9 shots/match
6.55 shots/matchShots on target38/384.13 shots/match
59.5%Possession38/3850.5%
5.55 corners/matchCorners38/385.71 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.68 fouls/matchFouls38/3811.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid19 matchesReal Betis19 matches
2.53 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.11 goals/match
0.47 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.37 goals/match
2.15 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.95 xG/match
17.9 shots/matchShots19/1910.6 shots/match
7.37 shots/matchShots on target19/193.58 shots/match
61.9%Possession19/1948.7%
6.05 corners/matchCorners19/195.47 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.89 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match