PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Deportivo Alavés 2–1 Sevilla · La Liga

2–1Historical match

Sevilla

DLDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Alavés won 2–1.

Shots
108
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.10.52
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Alavés beat Sevilla 2–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Alavés – Sevilla): shots 10–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.1–0.52, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Alavés have a visible home split

weak

Deportivo Alavés's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

41%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Sevilla● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésSevillaBaseline
Possession41%57%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsDeportivo Alavés 10 shots, Sevilla 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsDeportivo Alavés 4 shots, Sevilla 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.52 xGDeportivo Alavés 1.1 xG, Sevilla 0.52 xG
  • Possession35%65%Deportivo Alavés 35%, Sevilla 65%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersDeportivo Alavés 3 corners, Sevilla 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsDeportivo Alavés 11 fouls, Sevilla 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Saúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStoichkov · Deportivo Alavés · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoan Jordán · Deportivo Alavés · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 17′ · 0.08 xG · goalToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 20′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 83′ · 0.18 xG · goalSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.21 xG · on targetStoichkov · Deportivo Alavés · 60′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Martín · Deportivo Alavés · 60′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG. Sevilla: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Carlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 17′Carlos Martín · Deportivo Alavés · 60′Dodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 1.20 xG · Sevilla 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Deportivo Alavés
2Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–3
Deportivo Alavés — Sevilla · La Liga4–3
Deportivo Alavés — Sevilla · La Liga0–0
Sevilla — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés6 matchesSevilla6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.09 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
41%Possession6/6● 57%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.67 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo AlavésSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headDeportivo Alavés — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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