La Liga · 2024Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LDWWL

2–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

DLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Sevilla
Shots	10 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.1 xG/match▲	0.52 xG/match
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG. Sevilla: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 1.20 xG · Sevilla 0.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Deportivo Alavés's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Alavés have a visible home split

weak

Deportivo Alavés's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

41%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Sevilla●57%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Sevilla	Baseline
Possession	41%	57%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Deportivo Alavés

2Draws

0Sevilla

12 Jan 2024Sevilla — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–3

21 Aug 2023Deportivo Alavés — Sevilla · La Liga4–3

4 Mar 2022Deportivo Alavés — Sevilla · La Liga0–0

20 Nov 2021Sevilla — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 3 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.33 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.09 xG/match

1.02 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.21 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲14 shots/match

10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/611.8 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲5 shots/match

3.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/64.5 shots/match

41%Possessionseason · 6/6●57%

4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/6●5.67 corners/match

4.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/613.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés5

Sevilla82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés60.8

Sevilla64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés64.2

Sevilla40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés77.5

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés87.5

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés37.5

Sevilla70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés60

Sevilla74.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés6 matchesSevilla6 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.09 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲14 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5 shots/match

41%Possession6/6●57%

4.33 corners/matchCorners6/6●5.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés3 matchesSevilla3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.04 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots3/3▲14 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.67 shots/match

33.7%Possession3/3●57.3%

4 corners/matchCorners3/3●5.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

Deportivo Alavés have a visible home split

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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