La Liga · 2024Tue, 24 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Madrid

WDWWW

3–2Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

DWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Madrid	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	10 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.32 xG/match▲	0.88 xG/match
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Madrid: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.32 xG · Deportivo Alavés 0.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid, Deportivo Alavés. A second useful context is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid, Deportivo Alavés.

3 days▲Rest daysReal Madrid · Deportivo Alavés4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Madrid	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Rest days	3 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.1 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Deportivo Alavés12.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Shots	19.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	11.7 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	10 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Real Madrid

0Draws

0Deportivo Alavés

14 May 2024Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga5–0

21 Dec 2023Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1

19 Feb 2022Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0

14 Aug 2021Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 0 · 4 too close

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/71.57 goals/match

0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.43 goals/match

2.33 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.33 xG/match

0.72 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.06 xG/match

19.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/712.1 shots/match

10.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/710 shots/match

7.57 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/73.71 shots/match

2.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/73.43 shots/match

62.9%●Possessionseason · 7/739.6%

6.29 corners/match●Cornersseason · 7/74.29 corners/match

4.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/74.71 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.71 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/714.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5

Deportivo Alavés2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid92.5

Deportivo Alavés58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid88.3

Deportivo Alavés63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid87.5

Deportivo Alavés92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid2.5

Deportivo Alavés87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid82.5

Deportivo Alavés27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid68.8

Deportivo Alavés55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid7 matchesDeportivo Alavés7 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match

0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match

2.33 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.33 xG/match

19.1 shots/match▲Shots7/712.1 shots/match

7.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match

62.9%●Possession7/739.6%

6.29 corners/match●Corners7/74.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.71 fouls/matchFouls7/714.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid4 matchesDeportivo Alavés4 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

2.59 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.5 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shots4/413.8 shots/match

8.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match

66.5%●Possession4/444%

6.25 corners/match●Corners4/44.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.25 fouls/matchFouls4/415 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4