La Liga · 2024Tue, 24 Sept 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

Osasuna

WLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaOsasuna
Shots10 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.7 xG/match0.46 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners10 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Luis Rioja · Valencia · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRubén Peña · Osasuna · 68′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLucas Torró · Osasuna · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbel Bretones · Osasuna · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesús Vázquez · Valencia · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Valencia · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Mosquera · Valencia · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRubén Peña · Osasuna · 42′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDani Gómez · Valencia · 59′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDani Gómez · Valencia · 47′ · 0.18 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.68 xG. Osasuna: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 0.68 xG · Osasuna 0.45 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Valencia, Osasuna. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Osasuna have a visible away split

weak

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season9.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5 shots/match9.86 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Valencia, Osasuna.

3.02 daysRest daysValencia · Osasuna3.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricValenciaOsasunaBaseline
Rest days3.02 days3.11 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Osasuna's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season9.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match9.86 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Valencia
0Draws
2Osasuna
OsasunaValencia · La Liga01
ValenciaOsasuna · La Liga12
ValenciaOsasuna · La Liga10
OsasunaValencia · La Liga12
ValenciaOsasuna · La Liga12

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 5 · 6 too close

0.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71.14 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.57 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/70.86 xG/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.27 xG/match
9.43 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/79.86 shots/match
11.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/711.4 shots/match
2.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/73.14 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/74.14 shots/match
46.4%Possessionseason · 7/745.4%
6.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74 corners/match
5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/75.29 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/713.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia42.5
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia19.2
Osasuna35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia53.3
Osasuna40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia27.5
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia27.5
Osasuna57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia92.5
Osasuna17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia38.8
Osasuna33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia7 matchesOsasuna7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.86 xG/match
9.43 shots/matchShots7/79.86 shots/match
2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/73.14 shots/match
46.4%Possession7/745.4%
6.43 corners/matchCorners7/74 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/713.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia4 matchesOsasuna3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.33 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32.33 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals4/30.28 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots4/35 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/31.33 shots/match
44.5%Possession4/340.7%
8 corners/matchCorners4/33 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.11 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Sept 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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