PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

DWLWL
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaLas Palmas
Shots13 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.97 xG/match▲0.85 xG/match
Possession40%60%●
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match●
Fouls15 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Bryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 60′ · 0.04 xG · goalRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Muñoz · Las Palmas · 86′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 20′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 11′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 84′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 41′ · 0.20 xG · goalPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.56 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 39′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.02 xG. Las Palmas: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 39′Aimar Oroz · Osasuna · 60′Alberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 2.02 xG · Las Palmas 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Osasuna have a visible home split

weak

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionOsasuna · Las Palmas●58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaLas PalmasBaseline
Possession45%58%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
2Draws
0Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Osasuna · La Liga1–1
Osasuna — Las Palmas · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 4 · 3 too close

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/62 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1 xG/match
1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.07 xG/match
10 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲11.7 shots/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/615 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲5 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/65.17 shots/match
45%Possessionseason · 6/6●58%
3.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/6●5.5 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3.83 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5
Las Palmas87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna41.7
Las Palmas60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna36.7
Las Palmas11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna37.5
Las Palmas17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna65
Las Palmas42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna22.5
Las Palmas67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna38.8
Las Palmas60.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna6 matchesLas Palmas6 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots6/6▲11.7 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5 shots/match
45%Possession6/6●58%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/6●5.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna4 matchesLas Palmas3 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/30.67 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/32 goals/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.8 xG/match
13.5 shots/match▲Shots4/311 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲5.67 shots/match
49%Possession4/3●63.7%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/3●5.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/310 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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