PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal ValladolidReal Sociedad
Shots15 shots/match▲14 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.02 xG/match1.47 xG/match▲
Possession35%65%●
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls15 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Selim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Pérez · Real Valladolid · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBeñat Turrientes · Real Sociedad · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Torres · Real Valladolid · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Meseguer · Real Valladolid · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 28′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 58′ · 0.19 xG · on targetMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 65′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 89′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 74′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.03 xG. Real Sociedad: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 1.03 xG · Real Sociedad 1.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Valladolid have a visible home split

weak

Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match9.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad.

6 days▲Rest daysReal Valladolid · Real Sociedad3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal ValladolidReal SociedadBaseline
Rest days6 days3.79 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Valladolid
0Draws
0Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Real Valladolid · La Liga0–1
Real Valladolid — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Valladolid favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 7 · 5 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/7▲0.43 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/7▲1 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/7▲0.85 xG/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/7▲1.38 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/79.71 shots/match
14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/713.7 shots/match
1.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/7▲2.71 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/7▲3.86 shots/match
41.8%Possessionseason · 6/7●57.9%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/7●5.86 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/75.43 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/714 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/743%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/7▲43%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Valladolid12.5
Real Sociedad82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Valladolid5.8
Real Sociedad19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Valladolid9.2
Real Sociedad49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Valladolid42.5
Real Sociedad2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid82.5
Real Sociedad77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid12.5
Real Sociedad77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Valladolid27.5
Real Sociedad50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Valladolid6 matchesReal Sociedad7 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲0.43 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲1 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲0.85 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots6/79.71 shots/match
1.33 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲2.71 shots/match
41.8%Possession6/7●57.9%
3.5 corners/matchCorners6/7●5.86 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/714 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Valladolid3 matchesReal Sociedad4 matches
0.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.25 goals/match
0 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/40.25 goals/match
0.98 xG/match▲Expected goals3/40.69 xG/match
13 shots/match▲Shots3/49 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲3 shots/match
46.3%Possession3/4●59.5%
4 corners/matchCorners3/4●4.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/414 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.79 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal ValladolidReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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