La Liga · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Madrid

DWDWW

4–1Full-time recap

Espanyol

LLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Madrid	Espanyol
Shots	31 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	14 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	4.46 xG/match▲	0.34 xG/match
Possession	73%●	27%
Corners	9 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.7 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Espanyol10 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Espanyol	Baseline
Shots	20.7 shots/match	10 shots/match	11.5 shots/match
Shots against	9.83 shots/match	18.7 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.8%●PossessionReal Madrid · Espanyol39.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Espanyol	Baseline
Possession	61.8%	39.8%	48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

weak

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Madrid

0Draws

1Espanyol

11 Mar 2023Real Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga3–1

28 Aug 2022Espanyol — Real Madrid · La Liga1–3

30 Apr 2022Real Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga4–0

3 Oct 2021Espanyol — Real Madrid · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0 · 2 too close

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.5 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.11 xG/match

0.7 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.94 xG/match

20.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/610 shots/match

9.83 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/618.7 shots/match

8.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/62.5 shots/match

2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/66 shots/match

61.8%●Possessionseason · 6/639.8%

6.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/63.17 corners/match

4.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/66.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5

Espanyol2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid92.5

Espanyol29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid90

Espanyol15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid97.5

Espanyol62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid10

Espanyol37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid87.5

Espanyol7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid73.1

Espanyol23.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid6 matchesEspanyol6 matches

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.11 xG/match

20.7 shots/match▲Shots6/610 shots/match

8.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.5 shots/match

61.8%●Possession6/639.8%

6.67 corners/match●Corners6/63.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid3 matchesEspanyol3 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.54 xG/match

23.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match

10 shots/match▲Shots on target3/31.33 shots/match

65.7%●Possession3/340%

7 corners/match●Corners3/33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.67 fouls/matchFouls3/37.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4