PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Thu, 26 Sept 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolVillarreal
Shots9 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.41 xG/match1.6 xG/match▲
Possession56%●44%
Corners4 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Gragera · Espanyol · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalPape Gueye · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 63′ · 0.04 xG · goalIrvin Cardona · Espanyol · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNaci Ünüvar · Espanyol · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.35 xG · goalThierno Barry · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Espanyol: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.39 xG. Villarreal: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jofre Carreras · Espanyol · 45′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 45′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 0.39 xG · Villarreal 1.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.86 shots/match▲ShotsEspanyol · Villarreal14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolVillarrealBaseline
Shots9.86 shots/match14.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match
Shots against18.1 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Espanyol
1Draws
3Villarreal
Villarreal — Espanyol · La Liga4–2
Espanyol — Villarreal · La Liga0–1
Villarreal — Espanyol · La Liga5–1
Espanyol — Villarreal · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 7 · 3 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲2 goals/match
1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/72 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.63 xG/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.52 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲14.1 shots/match
18.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲14.6 shots/match
2.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲4.57 shots/match
5.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/75.86 shots/match
42.1%Possessionseason · 7/7●42.4%
3.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/7●4 corners/match
5.43 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/76 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/79.86 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/70%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol12.5
Villarreal22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol26.7
Villarreal78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol13.3
Villarreal12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol57.5
Villarreal97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol37.5
Villarreal12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol7.5
Villarreal25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol21.9
Villarreal46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Espanyol7 matchesVillarreal7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2 goals/match
1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.63 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.1 shots/match
2.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.57 shots/match
42.1%Possession7/7●42.4%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7●4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/79.86 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Espanyol4 matchesVillarreal4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.75 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match
1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.19 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.3 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4 shots/match
43.8%●Possession4/443%
3.5 corners/match●Corners4/43 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.02 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 26 Sept 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Espanyol vs Villarreal — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath