La Liga · 2024Sun, 22 Sept 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Villarreal

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1–5Full-time recap

Barcelona

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Villarreal	Barcelona
Shots	13 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.17 xG/match	3.97 xG/match▲
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Villarreal: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.17 xG. Barcelona: 17 shots, 10 on target, 4.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.17 xG · Barcelona 4.15 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · Barcelona18.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	18.8 shots/match	11.7 shots/match
Shots against	15.5 shots/match	8 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%PossessionVillarreal · Barcelona●64%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	42.2%	64%	47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Villarreal

0Draws

3Barcelona

27 Jan 2024Barcelona — Villarreal · La Liga3–5

27 Aug 2023Villarreal — Barcelona · La Liga3–4

12 Feb 2023Villarreal — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

20 Oct 2022Barcelona — Villarreal · La Liga3–0

22 May 2022Barcelona — Villarreal · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 3 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲3.67 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲0.83 goals/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲2.85 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.07 xG/match

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲18.8 shots/match

15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲8 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲7.67 shots/match

6.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲2.83 shots/match

42.2%Possessionseason · 6/6●64%

4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/6●6.33 corners/match

6.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.17 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲17%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal17.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal77.5

Barcelona94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal5.8

Barcelona84.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal92.5

Barcelona77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal7.5

Barcelona12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal45

Barcelona87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal50.6

Barcelona71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal6 matchesBarcelona6 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲3.67 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.83 goals/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲2.85 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots6/6▲18.8 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲7.67 shots/match

42.2%Possession6/6●64%

4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6●6.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal3 matchesBarcelona4 matches

2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲3.25 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲1 goals/match

2.22 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲2.62 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShots3/4▲19.3 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲7.5 shots/match

41.7%Possession3/4●62.3%

5.33 corners/matchCorners3/4●5.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.67 fouls/matchFouls3/410 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4