PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid drew 1–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.850.53
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Atlético Madrid): shots 16–10, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.85–0.53, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

weak

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsRayo Vallecano 16 shots, Atlético Madrid 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsRayo Vallecano 4 shots, Atlético Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG0.53 xGRayo Vallecano 1.85 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.53 xG
  • Possession55%45%Rayo Vallecano 55%, Atlético Madrid 45%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersRayo Vallecano 3 corners, Atlético Madrid 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsRayo Vallecano 9 fouls, Atlético Madrid 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJames Rodríguez · Rayo Vallecano · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAxel Witsel · Atlético Madrid · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 3′ · 0.06 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 50′ · 0.06 xG · goalCésar Azpilicueta · Atlético Madrid · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 89′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 35′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 25′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 35′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.80 xG. Atlético Madrid: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 35′Conor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.80 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
4Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–7
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–2
Atlético Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano6 matchesAtlético Madrid6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.72 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
49.2%Possession6/6● 50.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners6/64.33 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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