PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Celta Vigo 0–1 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 0–1.

Shots
108
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.530.62
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Celta Vigo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Atlético Madrid): shots 10–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.53–0.62, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

weak

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Madrid.

4.2 days ▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Atlético Madrid4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCelta VigoAtlético MadridBaseline
Rest days4.2 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsCelta Vigo 10 shots, Atlético Madrid 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Atlético Madrid 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG0.62 xGCelta Vigo 1.53 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.62 xG
  • Possession58%42%Celta Vigo 58%, Atlético Madrid 42%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersCelta Vigo 2 corners, Atlético Madrid 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsCelta Vigo 11 fouls, Atlético Madrid 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Sotelo · Celta Vigo · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 18′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 74′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 89′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.29 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.31 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 10′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.52 xG. Atlético Madrid: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.52 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celta Vigo
0Draws
5Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Celta Vigo — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–3
Celta Vigo — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Atlético Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–1
Atlético Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo7 matchesAtlético Madrid7 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.43 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.56 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.3 shots/match
5.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.29 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession7/749.4%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.14 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/710.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 26 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required