PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid drew 1–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.280.76
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Real Madrid): shots 12–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.28–0.76, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Madrid.

3 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Madrid · Real Madrid5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MadridReal MadridBaseline
Rest days3 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

weak

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Real Madrid18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridReal MadridBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match18.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsAtlético Madrid 12 shots, Real Madrid 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAtlético Madrid 4 shots, Real Madrid 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.76 xGAtlético Madrid 1.28 xG, Real Madrid 0.76 xG
  • Possession51%49%Atlético Madrid 51%, Real Madrid 49%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAtlético Madrid 5 corners, Real Madrid 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsAtlético Madrid 11 fouls, Real Madrid 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 64′ · 0.03 xG · goalConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEndrick · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 4′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.26 xG. Real Madrid: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ángel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 90′Éder Militão · Real Madrid · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.26 xG · Real Madrid 0.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlético Madrid
2Draws
1Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga3–1
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid8 matchesReal Madrid8 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/80.75 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.13 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 18.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 7.13 shots/match
49.6%Possession8/8● 61.1%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.13 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls8/89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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