La Liga · 2024

Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal · La Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–0.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.471.15
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Villarreal 2–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Villarreal): shots 11–12, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.47–1.15, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Villarreal14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridVillarrealBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid, Villarreal.

6 days ▲Rest daysReal Madrid · Villarreal5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal MadridVillarrealBaseline
Rest days6 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.4% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Villarreal42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridVillarrealBaseline
Possession60.4%42.7%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsReal Madrid 11 shots, Villarreal 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotReal Madrid 2 shots, Villarreal 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.47 xG1.15 xGReal Madrid 0.47 xG, Villarreal 1.15 xG
  • Possession55%45%Real Madrid 55%, Villarreal 45%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersReal Madrid 2 corners, Villarreal 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsReal Madrid 7 fouls, Villarreal 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 14′ · 0.02 xG · goalNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.03 xG · goalRamón Terrats · Villarreal · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 17′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 81′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 81′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG. Villarreal: 12 shots, 1 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 14′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 0.46 xG · Villarreal 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
2Draws
2Villarreal
Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga4–4
Real Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga4–1
Real Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga2–3
Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid9 matchesVillarreal9 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.89 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.89 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.71 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots9/914.6 shots/match
6.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.44 shots/match
60.4% ●Possession9/942.7%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners9/94 corners/match
8.78 fouls/matchFouls9/910.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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