PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Valladolid 1–2 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 1–2.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.991.5
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Real Valladolid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Valladolid – Rayo Vallecano): shots 13–17, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.99–1.5, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.56 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Valladolid have a visible home split

moderate

Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Rayo Vallecano11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsReal Valladolid 13 shots, Rayo Vallecano 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsReal Valladolid 6 shots, Rayo Vallecano 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG1.5 xGReal Valladolid 1.99 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.5 xG
  • Possession39%61%Real Valladolid 39%, Rayo Vallecano 61%
  • Corners5 corners13 cornersReal Valladolid 5 corners, Rayo Vallecano 13 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsReal Valladolid 13 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Unai López · Rayo Vallecano · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdulay Juma Bah · Real Valladolid · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnuar · Real Valladolid · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmath Ndiaye · Real Valladolid · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmath Ndiaye · Real Valladolid · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Real Valladolid · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Rosa · Real Valladolid · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdul Mumin · Rayo Vallecano · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 74′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 88′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJames Rodríguez · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAbdulay Juma Bah · Real Valladolid · 83′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedSelim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 15′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 57′ · 0.28 xG · goalSelim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 51′ · 0.44 xG · goalJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.44 xG · goalSelim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 62′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.91 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Selim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 51′Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 57′Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 1.91 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.59 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Valladolid favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Valladolid9 matchesRayo Vallecano9 matches
0.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1 goal/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.05 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 11.9 shots/match
1.89 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 3.67 shots/match
42.8%Possession9/9● 48.7%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.67 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls9/915.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal ValladolidRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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