PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Fri, 27 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal ValladolidMallorca
Shots13 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.24 xG/match2.26 xG/match▲
Possession50%50%
Corners7 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Manu Morlanes · Mallorca · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Maffeo · Mallorca · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Maffeo · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Real Valladolid · 27′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 19′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Mallorca · 75′ · 0.25 xG · on targetValery Fernández · Mallorca · 83′ · 0.36 xG · goalValery Fernández · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.39 xG · on targetDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 19′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 59′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.26 xG. Mallorca: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Iván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 90′Cyle Larin · Mallorca · 59′Valery Fernández · Mallorca · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 1.26 xG · Mallorca 2.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Valladolid have a visible home split

weak

Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match9.75 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Valladolid, Mallorca.

3.08 days▲Rest daysReal Valladolid · Mallorca4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal ValladolidMallorcaBaseline
Rest days3.08 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Valladolid
1Draws
1Mallorca
Real Valladolid — Mallorca · La Liga3–3
Mallorca — Real Valladolid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Valladolid favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 9 · 3 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.75 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲1.04 xG/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.86 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲11.1 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲14.5 shots/match
1.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲4.13 shots/match
5.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲4.38 shots/match
43.3%Possessionseason · 8/8●45.3%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/8●4.88 corners/match
5.38 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/85.75 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/838%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Valladolid27.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Valladolid12.5
Mallorca46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Valladolid4.2
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Valladolid42.5
Mallorca57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid77.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid22.5
Mallorca67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Valladolid31.2
Mallorca53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Valladolid8 matchesMallorca8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.75 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.04 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots8/8▲11.1 shots/match
1.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4.13 shots/match
43.3%Possession8/8●45.3%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8●4.88 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.1 fouls/matchFouls8/811.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Valladolid4 matchesMallorca4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/40.75 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.22 xG/match
13 shots/match▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match
1.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4 shots/match
47.3%Possession4/447.3%
4.75 corners/match●Corners4/43.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal ValladolidMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Real Valladolid vs Mallorca — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath