PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Mon, 23 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisMallorca
Shots16 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.03 xG/match▲1.02 xG/match
Possession62%●38%
Corners6 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Sergi Altimira · Real Betis · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitor Roque · Real Betis · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Roca · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitor Roque · Real Betis · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 7′ · 0.05 xG · goalRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVitor Roque · Real Betis · 17′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetValery Fernández · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 41′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMarc Roca · Real Betis · 89′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 8′ · 0.20 xG · goalVitor Roque · Real Betis · 51′ · 0.22 xG · on targetSamú Costa · Mallorca · 33′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.03 xG. Mallorca: 7 shots, 6 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Giovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 7′Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 8′Valery Fernández · Mallorca · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.03 xG · Mallorca 1.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Mallorca10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisMallorcaBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Betis have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7%●PossessionReal Betis · Mallorca44.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisMallorcaBaseline
Possession55.7%44.6%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

5Real Betis
0Draws
0Mallorca
Mallorca — Real Betis · La Liga0–1
Real Betis — Mallorca · La Liga2–0
Real Betis — Mallorca · La Liga1–0
Mallorca — Real Betis · La Liga1–2
Real Betis — Mallorca · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 4 · 2 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/70.86 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/7▲0.71 goals/match
1.59 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/70.87 xG/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/7▲0.8 xG/match
15.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/710.3 shots/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/714.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/73.86 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/74.86 shots/match
55.7%●Possessionseason · 6/744.6%
6.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/75 corners/match
3.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/75.57 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/711.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/7▲43%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/7▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis62.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis63.3
Mallorca40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis65.8
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis72.5
Mallorca47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis52.5
Mallorca47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis95
Mallorca60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis74.4
Mallorca49.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis6 matchesMallorca7 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored6/70.86 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲0.71 goals/match
1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals6/70.87 xG/match
15.3 shots/match▲Shots6/710.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.86 shots/match
55.7%●Possession6/744.6%
6.67 corners/match●Corners6/75 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/711.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis4 matchesMallorca3 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲0.67 goals/match
1.87 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.87 xG/match
16.5 shots/match▲Shots4/39.67 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/33.33 shots/match
57.8%●Possession4/346.3%
7.25 corners/match●Corners4/33.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11 fouls/matchFouls4/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Real Betis vs Mallorca — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath