PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtlético MadridLas Palmas
Shots15 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1.63 xG/match▲0.02 xG/match
Possession57%●43%
Corners9 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoke · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedClément Lenglet · Atlético Madrid · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 35′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.25 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 83′ · 0.38 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.62 xG. Las Palmas: 1 shots, 1 on target, 0.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Giuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 37′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.62 xG · Las Palmas 0.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Las Palmas11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridLas PalmasBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match14 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atlético Madrid
0Draws
1Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid — Las Palmas · La Liga5–0
Las Palmas — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 0 · 3 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.08 goals/match
0.58 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.75 goals/match
1.62 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/120.94 xG/match
0.82 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.81 xG/match
12.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1211.2 shots/match
10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1214 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/124.17 shots/match
2.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.75 shots/match
50.7%Possessionseason · 12/12●55.1%
5.17 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/124.42 corners/match
3.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/124.75 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid57.5
Las Palmas77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid68.3
Las Palmas48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid87.5
Las Palmas17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid62.5
Las Palmas22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid12.5
Las Palmas47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid62.5
Las Palmas22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid51.9
Las Palmas43.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid12 matchesLas Palmas12 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.08 goals/match
0.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.75 goals/match
1.62 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.94 xG/match
12.6 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.2 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/124.17 shots/match
50.7%Possession12/12●55.1%
5.17 corners/match●Corners12/124.42 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Atlético Madrid6 matchesLas Palmas6 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
2.39 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.74 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shots6/68.67 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.5 shots/match
54.7%Possession6/6●57.5%
6.5 corners/match●Corners6/63.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.8 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.85 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtlético MadridLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Atlético Madrid vs Las Palmas — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath