La Liga · 2024Fri, 8 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

DDWLW

1–3Full-time recap

Las Palmas

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Las Palmas
Shots	34 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.47 xG/match▲	0.9 xG/match
Possession	64%●	36%
Corners	12 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Las Palmas11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Las Palmas	Baseline
Shots	13.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	12.7 shots/match	15.5 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Rayo Vallecano

0Draws

1Las Palmas

20 Jan 2024Rayo Vallecano — Las Palmas · La Liga0–2

22 Oct 2023Las Palmas — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 2 · 3 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/13▲1.23 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/131.69 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/130.94 xG/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/131.86 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1311.2 shots/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1315.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/13▲4.08 shots/match

3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/134.85 shots/match

50.1%Possessionseason · 12/13●53.6%

5.92 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/134.38 corners/match

4.92 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/135.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1312.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/138%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano52.5

Las Palmas67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano55

Las Palmas52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano50.8

Las Palmas14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano82.5

Las Palmas22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano87.5

Las Palmas47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano87.5

Las Palmas22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano73.1

Las Palmas42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano12 matchesLas Palmas13 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/13▲1.23 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/131.69 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals12/130.94 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots12/1311.2 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target12/13▲4.08 shots/match

50.1%Possession12/13●53.6%

5.92 corners/match●Corners12/134.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1312.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rayo Vallecano6 matchesLas Palmas7 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/71.29 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/72 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals6/70.76 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shots6/79 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/74.29 shots/match

53.8%Possession6/7●54.4%

6.5 corners/match●Corners6/73.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/711.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.29 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4