PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealDeportivo Alavés
Shots13 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.52 xG/match▲0.5 xG/match
Possession63%●37%
Corners7 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match21 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Nahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Martín · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbderrahman Rebbach · Deportivo Alavés · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.05 xG · goalThierno Barry · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Pica · Deportivo Alavés · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 25′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 11′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.21 xG · goalDani Parejo · Villarreal · 81′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.55 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ilias Akhomach · Villarreal · 38′Dani Parejo · Villarreal · 81′Santi Comesaña · Villarreal · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.55 xG · Deportivo Alavés 0.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Villarreal
2Draws
1Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–1
Deportivo Alavés — Villarreal · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 3 · 3 too close

1.92 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/131.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/131.69 goals/match
1.67 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/131.05 xG/match
1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/131.44 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1311.7 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/13▲11.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/133.54 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/13▲4.15 shots/match
46.6%●Possessionseason · 12/1343.2%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/13●4.54 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/134.54 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1315.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/13▲23%
92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal42.5
Deportivo Alavés12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal84.2
Deportivo Alavés44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal26.7
Deportivo Alavés40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal97.5
Deportivo Alavés72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal42.5
Deportivo Alavés92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal30
Deportivo Alavés40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal59.4
Deportivo Alavés54.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal12 matchesDeportivo Alavés13 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored12/131.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/131.69 goals/match
1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals12/131.05 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots12/1311.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target12/133.54 shots/match
46.6%●Possession12/1343.2%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/13●4.54 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1315.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal6 matchesDeportivo Alavés7 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71 goals/match
2 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/72.14 goals/match
1.98 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.13 xG/match
14.8 shots/match▲Shots6/712.6 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.86 shots/match
47.8%●Possession6/745.4%
5.17 corners/match●Corners6/73.43 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/717 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.8 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVillarrealDeportivo Alavés
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath