PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Leganés 1–0 Sevilla · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Sevilla

DWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Leganés won 1–0.

Shots
813
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.050.58
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Leganés beat Sevilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Leganés – Sevilla): shots 8–13, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.05–0.58, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.31 shots/match ▲ShotsLeganés · Sevilla12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeganésSevillaBaseline
Shots8.31 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%PossessionLeganés · Sevilla● 54.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeganésSevillaBaseline
Possession43.8%54.8%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsLeganés 8 shots, Sevilla 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsLeganés 4 shots, Sevilla 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG0.58 xGLeganés 1.05 xG, Sevilla 0.58 xG
  • Possession43%57%Leganés 43%, Sevilla 57%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersLeganés 0 corners, Sevilla 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsLeganés 7 fouls, Sevilla 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Djibril Sow · Sevilla · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Brašanac · Leganés · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Leganés · 16′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMunir El Haddadi · Leganés · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKelechi Iheanacho · Sevilla · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 82′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leganés: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.11 xG. Sevilla: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Miguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 1.11 xG · Sevilla 0.58 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leganés favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leganés13 matchesSevilla13 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored13/130.92 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.14 xG/match
8.31 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 12.8 shots/match
2.69 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.77 shots/match
43.8%Possession13/13● 54.8%
2.46 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.31 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeganésSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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