La Liga · 2024Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

WDWLW

0–2Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

DWDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Real Sociedad
Shots	8 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	0 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match	1.37 xG/match▲
Possession	55%●	45%
Corners	5 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	6 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sevilla: 8 shots, 0 on target, 1.07 xG. Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.07 xG · Real Sociedad 1.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla

1Draws

3Real Sociedad

2 Mar 2024Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga3–2

26 Nov 2023Real Sociedad — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

4 Jun 2023Real Sociedad — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

9 Nov 2022Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

20 Mar 2022Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 6 · 4 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/120.83 goals/match

1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲1.26 xG/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.12 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1211.4 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲11.3 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/124 shots/match

4.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.25 shots/match

54.7%Possessionseason · 12/12●58.9%

5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/12●6.75 corners/match

5.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/124.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%

75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5

Real Sociedad92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla54.2

Real Sociedad40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla38.3

Real Sociedad71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla42.5

Real Sociedad12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla52.5

Real Sociedad57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla72.5

Real Sociedad97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla62.5

Real Sociedad64.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla12 matchesReal Sociedad12 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match

1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲1.26 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.4 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/124 shots/match

54.7%Possession12/12●58.9%

5.25 corners/matchCorners12/12●6.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla6 matchesReal Sociedad6 matches

0.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.17 goals/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.98 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots6/69.83 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match

55.3%Possession6/6●56%

5.33 corners/matchCorners6/65.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4