La Liga · 2024Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Barcelona

WLWWW

3–1Full-time recap

Espanyol

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Barcelona	Espanyol
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.83 xG/match▲	0.97 xG/match
Possession	77%●	23%
Corners	9 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Barcelona: 14 shots, 9 on target, 1.85 xG. Espanyol: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 1.85 xG · Espanyol 0.85 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.1 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Espanyol9.67 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Espanyol	Baseline
Shots	17.1 shots/match	9.67 shots/match	11.7 shots/match
Shots against	8.58 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.7%●PossessionBarcelona · Espanyol40.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Espanyol	Baseline
Possession	67.7%	40.8%	48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Barcelona

2Draws

0Espanyol

14 May 2023Espanyol — Barcelona · La Liga2–4

31 Dec 2022Barcelona — Espanyol · La Liga1–1

13 Feb 2022Espanyol — Barcelona · La Liga2–2

20 Nov 2021Barcelona — Espanyol · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0 · 3 too close

3.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/120.92 goals/match

0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.83 goals/match

2.57 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/120.91 xG/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.76 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/129.67 shots/match

8.58 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1215.7 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/122.25 shots/match

2.75 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/126.17 shots/match

67.7%●Possessionseason · 12/1240.8%

6.08 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/124.5 corners/match

5.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/125.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1213.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5

Espanyol2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5

Espanyol14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona84.2

Espanyol5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona67.5

Espanyol52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona2.5

Espanyol75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona92.5

Espanyol27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona72.5

Espanyol29.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Barcelona12 matchesEspanyol12 matches

3.33 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.92 goals/match

0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.83 goals/match

2.57 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.91 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shots12/129.67 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.25 shots/match

67.7%●Possession12/1240.8%

6.08 corners/match●Corners12/124.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Barcelona5 matchesEspanyol6 matches

3.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.5 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/62.17 goals/match

2.85 xG/match▲Expected goals5/60.56 xG/match

17.2 shots/match▲Shots5/68.5 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/61.67 shots/match

71.4%●Possession5/638.8%

7.2 corners/match●Corners5/63.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8 fouls/matchFouls5/613 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.84 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.84 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4