La Liga · 2024Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

WDLWD

1–1Full-time recap

Real Betis

DWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Real Betis
Shots	17 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	4.01 xG/match▲	0.84 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	6 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 17 shots, 8 on target, 4.24 xG. Real Betis: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 4.24 xG · Real Betis 0.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Athletic Club

1Draws

3Real Betis

25 Feb 2024Real Betis — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1

27 Aug 2023Athletic Club — Real Betis · La Liga4–2

4 May 2023Athletic Club — Real Betis · La Liga0–1

29 Dec 2022Real Betis — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

13 Mar 2022Real Betis — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 5 · 3 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲1.62 xG/match

1.09 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.29 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲14.8 shots/match

9.67 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1211.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲5 shots/match

3.17 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/123.83 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 12/12●51.5%

5.08 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/125 corners/match

4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/124.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲33%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club47.5

Real Betis62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club60.8

Real Betis70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club75

Real Betis58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club52.5

Real Betis87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club62.5

Real Betis30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club62.5

Real Betis57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club58.1

Real Betis65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club12 matchesReal Betis12 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲1.62 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots12/12▲14.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5 shots/match

47.8%Possession12/12●51.5%

5.08 corners/match●Corners12/125 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club7 matchesReal Betis6 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.67 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/61 goals/match

1.42 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.31 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots7/611.3 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/64 shots/match

50%●Possession7/648.7%

4.29 corners/match●Corners7/63.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/612.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4