La Liga · 2024

Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 2–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.811.82
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Real Madrid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Real Madrid): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.81–1.82, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club, Real Madrid.

3.1 days ▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Real Madrid3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthletic ClubReal MadridBaseline
Rest days3.1 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.1%PossessionAthletic Club · Real Madrid● 60.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubReal MadridBaseline
Possession48.1%60.4%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsAthletic Club 9 shots, Real Madrid 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAthletic Club 3 shots, Real Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG1.82 xGAthletic Club 1.81 xG, Real Madrid 1.82 xG
  • Possession37%63%Athletic Club 37%, Real Madrid 63%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersAthletic Club 5 corners, Real Madrid 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls9 foulsAthletic Club 21 fouls, Real Madrid 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Prados · Athletic Club · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFran García · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 4′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 59′ · 0.14 xG · on targetÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 31′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 80′ · 0.42 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 78′ · 0.55 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.82 xG · on targetÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 53′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.88 xG. Real Madrid: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Álex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 53′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 80′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.88 xG · Real Madrid 1.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Athletic Club
1Draws
4Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2
Real Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club16 matchesReal Madrid15 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲ 2.07 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲ 0.87 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals16/15▲ 1.98 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots16/15▲ 15.5 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲ 6.13 shots/match
48.1%Possession16/15● 60.4%
5.13 corners/matchCorners16/15● 5.67 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls16/159.53 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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