La Liga · 2024Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Girona FC

LWWWD

0–3Full-time recap

Real Madrid

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Girona FC	Real Madrid
Shots	10 shots/match	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.35 xG/match	0.92 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Girona FC: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.36 xG. Real Madrid: 10 shots, 7 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 0.36 xG · Real Madrid 0.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Girona FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid.

6.29 days▲Rest daysGirona FC · Real Madrid3 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Girona FC	Real Madrid	Baseline
Rest days	6.29 days	3 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsGirona FC · Real Madrid15.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Girona FC	Real Madrid	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	9.75 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Girona FC

1Draws

2Real Madrid

10 Feb 2024Real Madrid — Girona FC · La Liga4–0

30 Sept 2023Girona FC — Real Madrid · La Liga0–3

25 Apr 2023Girona FC — Real Madrid · La Liga4–2

30 Oct 2022Real Madrid — Girona FC · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10 · 2 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2.13 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.81 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/16▲1.91 xG/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.92 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲15.2 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲9.75 shots/match

3.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲6.19 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲2.63 shots/match

57.8%Possessionseason · 16/16●60.3%

4.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/16●5.5 corners/match

3.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/164.38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/169.38 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲50%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC87.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC51.7

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC54.2

Real Madrid89.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC2.5

Real Madrid72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC22.5

Real Madrid7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC57.5

Real Madrid82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC42.5

Real Madrid68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC16 matchesReal Madrid16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.13 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.81 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲1.91 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots16/16▲15.2 shots/match

3.88 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲6.19 shots/match

57.8%Possession16/16●60.3%

4.88 corners/matchCorners16/16●5.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls16/169.38 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC8 matchesReal Madrid8 matches

1.88 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.75 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.75 goals/match

1.74 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.51 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲14 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.88 shots/match

57.6%Possession8/8●58.1%

5 corners/match●Corners8/84.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls8/89.88 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4