La Liga · 2024

Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 1–2.

Shots
817
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.312.75
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Valencia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Real Madrid): shots 8–17, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.31–2.75, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.61 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match9.61 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.61 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match9.61 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/match ●CornersValencia · Real Madrid5.37 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricValenciaReal MadridBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match5.37 corners/match4.69 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsValencia 8 shots, Real Madrid 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsValencia 5 shots, Real Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG2.75 xGValencia 1.31 xG, Real Madrid 2.75 xG
  • Possession38%62%Valencia 38%, Real Madrid 62%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersValencia 2 corners, Real Madrid 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls9 foulsValencia 16 fouls, Real Madrid 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 8′ · 0.09 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 7′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 12′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 5′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 41′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 27′ · 0.19 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.31 xG · goalLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 85′ · 0.59 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 27′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.44 xG. Real Madrid: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 27′Luka Modrić · Real Madrid · 85′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.44 xG · Real Madrid 2.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
1Draws
3Real Madrid
Valencia — Real Madrid · La Liga2–2
Real Madrid — Valencia · La Liga5–1
Valencia — Real Madrid · La Liga1–0
Real Madrid — Valencia · La Liga2–0
Real Madrid — Valencia · La Liga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia18 matchesReal Madrid19 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/19▲ 2.26 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed18/19▲ 1 goal/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals18/19▲ 1.9 xG/match
9.61 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲ 6.21 shots/match
48.3%Possession18/19● 60.6%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners18/195.37 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls18/199.05 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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