PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Sociedad 0–1 Sevilla · La Liga

0–1Historical match

Sevilla

DLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 0–1.

Shots
79
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.750.58
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Sociedad – Sevilla): shots 7–9, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.75–0.58, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsReal Sociedad 7 shots, Sevilla 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsReal Sociedad 2 shots, Sevilla 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG0.58 xGReal Sociedad 0.75 xG, Sevilla 0.58 xG
  • Possession61%39%Real Sociedad 61%, Sevilla 39%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersReal Sociedad 6 corners, Sevilla 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsReal Sociedad 14 fouls, Sevilla 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucien Agoumé · Sevilla · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStanis Idumbo Muzambo · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOrri Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 46′ · 0.05 xG · goalOrri Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIgor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 24′ · 0.20 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 33′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNayef Aguerd · Real Sociedad · 21′ · 0.22 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.67 xG. Sevilla: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Chidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.67 xG · Sevilla 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Real Sociedad
0Draws
1Sevilla
Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2
Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga3–2
Real Sociedad — Sevilla · La Liga2–1
Real Sociedad — Sevilla · La Liga2–1
Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Sociedad favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Sociedad27 matchesSevilla27 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.33 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.06 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 3.93 shots/match
55% ●Possession27/2751.9%
5.56 corners/match ●Corners27/275.11 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal SociedadSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Sociedad — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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