PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club · La Liga

Sevilla

LWDDW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 0–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.551.3
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Sevilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Athletic Club): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.55–1.3, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsSevilla 11 shots, Athletic Club 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsSevilla 4 shots, Athletic Club 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG1.3 xGSevilla 0.55 xG, Athletic Club 1.3 xG
  • Possession62%38%Sevilla 62%, Athletic Club 38%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSevilla 4 corners, Athletic Club 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsSevilla 13 fouls, Athletic Club 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Isaac Romero · Sevilla · 18′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJosé Ángel Carmona · Sevilla · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Ángel Carmona · Sevilla · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 82′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 56′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 47′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 17′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 84′ · 0.21 xG · goalMikel Vesga · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.56 xG. Athletic Club: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 0.56 xG · Athletic Club 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sevilla
2Draws
2Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga2–0
Sevilla — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2
Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga0–1
Sevilla — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla28 matchesAthletic Club28 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.53 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.54 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession28/2848.9%
5.07 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.43 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSevillaAthletic Club
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headSevilla — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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