PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real Sociedad · La Liga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad drew 2–2.

Shots
108
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.560.58
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Real Sociedad): shots 10–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.56–0.58, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.4 shots/match10.1 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Real Sociedad10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoReal SociedadBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsRayo Vallecano 10 shots, Real Sociedad 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsRayo Vallecano 5 shots, Real Sociedad 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG0.58 xGRayo Vallecano 0.56 xG, Real Sociedad 0.58 xG
  • Possession55%45%Rayo Vallecano 55%, Real Sociedad 45%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersRayo Vallecano 4 corners, Real Sociedad 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls9 foulsRayo Vallecano 16 fouls, Real Sociedad 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 72′ · 0.03 xG · goalJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 20′ · 0.10 xG · goalArkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 88′ · 0.11 xG · on targetArkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 80′ · 0.21 xG · goalÓscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano · 58′ · 0.24 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.56 xG. Real Sociedad: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano · 58′Pedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 72′Martín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 20′Arkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 0.56 xG · Real Sociedad 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rayo Vallecano
2Draws
2Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–2
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0
Rayo Vallecano — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–2
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano28 matchesReal Sociedad28 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.89 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.07 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.07 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots28/2810.1 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.36 shots/match
50.8%Possession28/28● 54.6%
5.07 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.5 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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