PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Betis 1–0 Las Palmas · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 1–0.

Shots
148
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.310.63
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Las Palmas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Las Palmas): shots 14–8, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.31–0.63, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Betis · Las Palmas10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisLas PalmasBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Las Palmas have a visible away split

moderate

Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.14 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.14 shots/match10.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsReal Betis 14 shots, Las Palmas 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotReal Betis 6 shots, Las Palmas 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.31 xG0.63 xGReal Betis 2.31 xG, Las Palmas 0.63 xG
  • Possession67%33%Real Betis 67%, Las Palmas 33%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerReal Betis 11 corners, Las Palmas 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsReal Betis 12 fouls, Las Palmas 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Javier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Muñoz · Las Palmas · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedViti Rozada · Las Palmas · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Rodríguez · Real Betis · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Real Betis · 65′ · 0.06 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 81′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 77′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 20′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 17′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 43′ · 0.53 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.33 xG. Las Palmas: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Diego Llorente · Real Betis · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 2.33 xG · Las Palmas 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Betis
2Draws
0Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Real Betis · La Liga1–1
Las Palmas — Real Betis · La Liga2–2
Real Betis — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis27 matchesLas Palmas27 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.11 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.67 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.94 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/2710.8 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.81 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession27/2750.2%
5.19 corners/match ●Corners27/273.93 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal BetisLas Palmas
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Betis — Las Palmas
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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