La Liga · 2024Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

DWDWL

1–1Full-time recap

Mallorca

LDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Mallorca
Shots	8 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match	0.58 xG/match▲
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG. Mallorca: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.69 xG · Mallorca 0.58 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	0.96 goals/match	1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Mallorca10.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Mallorca	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	10.9 shots/match
Shots against	8.41 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Athletic Club

4Draws

0Mallorca

28 Oct 2024Mallorca — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

2 Feb 2024Athletic Club — Mallorca · La Liga4–0

3 Sept 2023Mallorca — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

1 May 2023Mallorca — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1

15 Aug 2022Athletic Club — Mallorca · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 2 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/270.96 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.22 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 27/271.13 xG/match

0.93 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 27/271.15 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/2710.7 shots/match

8.41 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2713.8 shots/match

4.56 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/273.26 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/273.93 shots/match

49.3%●Possessionseason · 27/2745.9%

5.41 corners/match●Cornersseason · 27/274.07 corners/match

3.74 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/275.63 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2712 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2722%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2767%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club47.5

Mallorca27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club79.2

Mallorca29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club89.2

Mallorca41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club87.5

Mallorca47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club52.5

Mallorca32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club82.5

Mallorca32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club72.5

Mallorca31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club27 matchesMallorca27 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored27/270.96 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.22 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals27/271.13 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots27/2710.7 shots/match

4.56 shots/match▲Shots on target27/273.26 shots/match

49.3%●Possession27/2745.9%

5.41 corners/match●Corners27/274.07 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2712 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club14 matchesMallorca13 matches

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scored14/130.92 goals/match

0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/131.38 goals/match

1.74 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.2 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots14/1310.2 shots/match

5.21 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133 shots/match

49.6%●Possession14/1347.9%

5.43 corners/match●Corners14/133.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1313.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4