PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Madrid 3–2 Leganés · La Liga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 3–2.

Shots
2410
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
2.912.87
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Leganés 3–2. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Leganés): shots 24–10, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 2.91–2.87, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Leganés8.24 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridLeganésBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match8.24 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match15.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

weak

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.8% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Leganés41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridLeganésBaseline
Possession60.8%41.7%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots10 shotsReal Madrid 24 shots, Leganés 10 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsReal Madrid 10 shots, Leganés 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.91 xG2.87 xGReal Madrid 2.91 xG, Leganés 2.87 xG
  • Possession71%29%Real Madrid 71%, Leganés 29%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersReal Madrid 8 corners, Leganés 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsReal Madrid 9 fouls, Leganés 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Óscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYvan Neyou · Leganés · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArda Güler · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · Leganés · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.08 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Leganés · 88′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 23′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 64′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.26 xG · on targetÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 34′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedDiego García · Leganés · 50′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.62 xG · goalDiego García · Leganés · 34′ · 0.74 xG · goalDani Raba · Leganés · 41′ · 0.81 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 24 shots, 10 on target, 3.14 xG. Leganés: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 32′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 47′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 76′Diego García · Leganés · 34′Dani Raba · Leganés · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 3.14 xG · Leganés 2.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
0Draws
0Leganés
Leganés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Leganés in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid29 matchesLeganés29 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.97 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.59 goals/match
1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/290.89 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots29/298.24 shots/match
6.34 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/292.86 shots/match
60.8% ●Possession29/2941.7%
5.59 corners/match ●Corners29/292.79 corners/match
8.83 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridLeganés
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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