PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 29 Mar 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolAtlético Madrid
Shots8 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.94 xG/match▲0.83 xG/match
Possession40%60%●
Corners4 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Roberto Fernández · Espanyol · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Romero · Espanyol · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Fernández · Espanyol · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCésar Azpilicueta · Atlético Madrid · 38′ · 0.02 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdu Expósito · Espanyol · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeandro Cabrera · Espanyol · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · Espanyol · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 41′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Espanyol: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.98 xG. Atlético Madrid: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Javi Puado · Espanyol · 71′César Azpilicueta · Atlético Madrid · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 0.98 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.07 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.07 shots/match11.7 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.96 shots/match▲ShotsEspanyol · Atlético Madrid11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots8.96 shots/match11.7 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Espanyol
3Draws
2Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga0–0
Espanyol — Atlético Madrid · La Liga3–3
Atlético Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga2–1
Espanyol — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

0.96 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/29▲1.62 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/29▲0.79 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/29▲1.57 xG/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 28/29▲0.95 xG/match
8.96 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/29▲11.7 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/29▲11 shots/match
2.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/29▲4.24 shots/match
5.04 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/29▲3.03 shots/match
38.5%Possessionseason · 28/29●51.3%
3.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/29●4.69 corners/match
5.61 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/29▲3.97 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2910.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/29▲45%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/29▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol2.5
Atlético Madrid62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol12.5
Atlético Madrid69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol19.2
Atlético Madrid80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol47.5
Atlético Madrid37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol82.5
Atlético Madrid12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol7.5
Atlético Madrid47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol26.2
Atlético Madrid47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Espanyol28 matchesAtlético Madrid29 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲1.62 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/29▲0.79 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals28/29▲1.57 xG/match
8.96 shots/matchShots28/29▲11.7 shots/match
2.36 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲4.24 shots/match
38.5%Possession28/29●51.3%
3.43 corners/matchCorners28/29●4.69 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2910.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Espanyol15 matchesAtlético Madrid14 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/14▲1.43 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/14▲0.79 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals15/14▲1.14 xG/match
10.1 shots/match▲Shots15/149.07 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target15/143.07 shots/match
39.3%Possession15/14●49.6%
4.13 corners/match●Corners15/143.29 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Mar 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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