La Liga · 2024Fri, 4 Apr 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

LDLDW

0–4Full-time recap

Espanyol

DWDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Espanyol
Shots	16 shots/match▲	15 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.67 xG/match	3.27 xG/match▲
Possession	70%●	30%
Corners	8 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 16 shots, 5 on target, 0.68 xG. Espanyol: 15 shots, 7 on target, 3.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 0.68 xG · Espanyol 3.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.07 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Espanyol9.17 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Espanyol	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	9.17 shots/match	11.1 shots/match
Shots against	12.3 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.2%●PossessionRayo Vallecano · Espanyol38.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Espanyol	Baseline
Possession	51.2%	38.2%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Rayo Vallecano

0Draws

2Espanyol

31 Aug 2024Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1

21 May 2023Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga1–2

19 Aug 2022Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–2

21 Apr 2022Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

5 Dec 2021Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0 · 3 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/291.07 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/291.38 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 30/290.88 xG/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 30/291.59 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/299.17 shots/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/2915.2 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/292.52 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/295.03 shots/match

51.2%●Possessionseason · 30/2938.2%

5.17 corners/match●Cornersseason · 30/293.45 corners/match

4.9 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/295.69 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/2913.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/2917%

77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/2972%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano57.5

Espanyol2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano55.8

Espanyol14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano40.8

Espanyol22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano72.5

Espanyol62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano87.5

Espanyol82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano72.5

Espanyol7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano73.8

Espanyol26.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano30 matchesEspanyol29 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored30/291.07 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/291.38 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals30/290.88 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots30/299.17 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target30/292.52 shots/match

51.2%●Possession30/2938.2%

5.17 corners/match●Corners30/293.45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls30/2913.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rayo Vallecano15 matchesEspanyol14 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored15/140.86 goals/match

1.53 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/141.71 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals15/140.77 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots15/148.14 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/141.79 shots/match

54.7%●Possession15/1437%

5.07 corners/match●Corners15/142.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1414.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples30 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4