La Liga · 2024Mon, 7 Apr 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

Osasuna

LDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeganésOsasuna
Shots13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.76 xG/match2.23 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Juan Cruz · Leganés · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuan Cruz · Leganés · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Hernández · Leganés · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Leganés · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego García · Leganés · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSeydouba Cisse · Leganés · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Leganés · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSergio González · Leganés · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 77′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 57′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 57′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 58′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 76′ · 0.32 xG · on targetJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 49′ · 0.39 xG · goalDani Raba · Leganés · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 30′ · 0.94 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leganés: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.81 xG. Osasuna: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dani Raba · Leganés · 87′Jorge Herrando · Osasuna · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 1.81 xG · Osasuna 2.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.47 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.47 shots/match10.5 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.4 shots/matchShotsLeganés · Osasuna10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeganésOsasunaBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.5 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match12 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leganés
1Draws
0Osasuna
OsasunaLeganés · La Liga11

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 9 · 3 too close

0.97 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/301.13 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/301.43 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/301.13 xG/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/301.45 xG/match
8.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/3010.5 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3012 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/303.27 shots/match
4.93 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/304.97 shots/match
42.2%Possessionseason · 30/3045.8%
2.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.33 corners/match
6.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/305.07 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3013.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3020%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3073%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés7.5
Osasuna27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés8.3
Osasuna33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés15
Osasuna28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés12.5
Osasuna42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés72.5
Osasuna77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés22.5
Osasuna41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés30 matchesOsasuna30 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.13 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.43 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.13 xG/match
8.4 shots/matchShots30/3010.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target30/303.27 shots/match
42.2%Possession30/3045.8%
2.83 corners/matchCorners30/304.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés15 matchesOsasuna15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/150.53 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.4 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals15/150.78 xG/match
8.47 shots/matchShots15/158.47 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target15/152.07 shots/match
44.6%Possession15/1543.1%
2.47 corners/matchCorners15/153.73 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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