PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 4–2 Real Valladolid · La Liga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 4–2.

Shots
246
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.621.33
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Real Valladolid 4–2. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Real Valladolid): shots 24–6, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.62–1.33, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Real Valladolid8.68 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridReal ValladolidBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match8.68 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots6 shotsAtlético Madrid 24 shots, Real Valladolid 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsAtlético Madrid 9 shots, Real Valladolid 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.62 xG1.33 xGAtlético Madrid 3.62 xG, Real Valladolid 1.33 xG
  • Possession54%46%Atlético Madrid 54%, Real Valladolid 46%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerAtlético Madrid 5 corners, Real Valladolid 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsAtlético Madrid 11 fouls, Real Valladolid 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Conor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavi Galán · Atlético Madrid · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi Galán · Atlético Madrid · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJavi Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 56′ · 0.08 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 6′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 39′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 6′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 27′ · 0.16 xG · goalRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedThomas Lemar · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.26 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.44 xG · goalMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 21′ · 0.82 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 25′ · 0.82 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 24 shots, 9 on target, 3.50 xG. Real Valladolid: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 25′Giuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 27′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 71′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 79′Mamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 21′Javi Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 3.50 xG · Real Valladolid 1.26 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid31 matchesReal Valladolid31 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.68 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/312.35 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.86 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots31/318.68 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/312.48 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession31/3143.2%
4.77 corners/match ●Corners31/313.81 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridReal Valladolid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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