PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Las Palmas 1–0 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Las Palmas won 1–0.

Shots
87
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.610.8
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Las Palmas beat Atlético Madrid 1–0. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Atlético Madrid): shots 8–7, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.61–0.8, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLas Palmas · Atlético Madrid11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsLas Palmas 8 shots, Atlético Madrid 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsLas Palmas 2 shots, Atlético Madrid 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.61 xG0.8 xGLas Palmas 0.61 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.8 xG
  • Possession41%59%Las Palmas 41%, Atlético Madrid 59%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersLas Palmas 4 corners, Atlético Madrid 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsLas Palmas 13 fouls, Atlético Madrid 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Stefan Bajčetić · Las Palmas · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Park · Las Palmas · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalAlex Suárez · Las Palmas · 22′ · 0.28 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.43 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG. Atlético Madrid: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Javier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.60 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Las Palmas
0Draws
2Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Las Palmas · La Liga2–0
Atlético Madrid — Las Palmas · La Liga5–0
Las Palmas — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas32 matchesAtlético Madrid32 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.66 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.84 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.6 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.34 shots/match
50.3%Possession32/32● 51.8%
3.84 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.75 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLas PalmasAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headLas Palmas — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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