PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Valladolid 2–3 Osasuna · La Liga

2–3Historical match

Osasuna

LLDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna won 2–3.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.912.35
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna beat Real Valladolid 3–2. Recorded in this match (Real Valladolid – Osasuna): shots 12–11, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.91–2.35, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.72 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.63 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.63 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.78 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Osasuna10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidOsasunaBaseline
Shots8.78 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsReal Valladolid 12 shots, Osasuna 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsReal Valladolid 5 shots, Osasuna 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG2.35 xGReal Valladolid 1.91 xG, Osasuna 2.35 xG
  • Possession50%50%Real Valladolid 50%, Osasuna 50%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersReal Valladolid 5 corners, Osasuna 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsReal Valladolid 12 fouls, Osasuna 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Torró · Osasuna · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStanko Jurić · Real Valladolid · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbel Bretones · Osasuna · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoseph Aidoo · Real Valladolid · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 5′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChuki · Real Valladolid · 41′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 9′ · 0.33 xG · goalRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 49′ · 0.49 xG · goalRubén García · Osasuna · 34′ · 0.81 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 60′ · 0.82 xG · goalMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 67′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.95 xG. Osasuna: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Raúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 49′Mamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 67′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 9′Rubén García · Osasuna · 34′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 1.95 xG · Osasuna 2.32 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Valladolid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Valladolid32 matchesOsasuna32 matches
0.72 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.22 goals/match
2.38 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.44 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.18 xG/match
8.78 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 10.6 shots/match
2.56 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 3.44 shots/match
43.4%Possession32/32● 45.5%
3.84 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.25 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal ValladolidOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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