La Liga · 2024Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealReal Sociedad
Shots20 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.94 xG/match2.02 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners10 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Thierno Barry · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDenis Suárez · Villarreal · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJuan Foyth · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJuan Foyth · Villarreal · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 60′ · 0.13 xG · goalYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 7′ · 0.20 xG · goalThierno Barry · Villarreal · 33′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.23 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 49′ · 0.70 xG · goalMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 19′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.95 xG. Real Sociedad: 4 shots, 4 on target, 1.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Yéremy Pino · Villarreal · 7′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 60′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 19′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.95 xG · Real Sociedad 1.79 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/matchShotsVillarreal · Real Sociedad10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealReal SociedadBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Villarreal
0Draws
3Real Sociedad
Real SociedadVillarreal · La Liga10
Real SociedadVillarreal · La Liga13
VillarrealReal Sociedad · La Liga03
VillarrealReal Sociedad · La Liga20
Real SociedadVillarreal · La Liga10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 3 · 4 too close

1.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/321 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/321.13 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/321.13 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/321.13 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3210.2 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3211.9 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/323.5 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/323.75 shots/match
48.8%Possessionseason · 31/3254.3%
5.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/325.41 corners/match
4.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/324.78 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3213.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3238%
84%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3256%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal42.5
Real Sociedad82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal87.5
Real Sociedad25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal39.2
Real Sociedad56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal97.5
Real Sociedad2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal37.5
Real Sociedad67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal77.5
Real Sociedad87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal72.5
Real Sociedad52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal31 matchesReal Sociedad32 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored31/321 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed31/321.13 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals31/321.13 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots31/3210.2 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target31/323.5 shots/match
48.8%Possession31/3254.3%
5.1 corners/matchCorners31/325.41 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls31/3213.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal15 matchesReal Sociedad16 matches
2.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/160.94 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/161.19 goals/match
1.97 xG/matchExpected goals15/161.04 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots15/168.69 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target15/163.06 shots/match
49.2%Possession15/1650.9%
5.6 corners/matchCorners15/164.69 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1612.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.09 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples31 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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